McGuire on Media

McGuire's 2009 Business and Future of Journalism syllabus

Classes at Arizona State’s Walter Cronkite School of Journalism began today and so it is time to publish my syllabus for my Business and Future of Journalism class.

There are some notable changes. I am using online readings exclusively except for the four popular books I require. A quarter of the class will read one of those books. The World is Flat,  Wikinomics, The Long Tail and What Would Google Do? I have added that last one by Jeff Jarvis this year.

The most significant change is probably the addition of sessions on pay walls and aggregators. I am also spending more time this year on new models than I have in the past.  

The Business and Future of Journalism

Arizona State University

Fall Semester 2009

JMC 473

.    SLN 85318

2:00-3:15 p.m. Mon. and Wed.

Cronkite, Room 256

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Star Tribune teamsters, Michael Connelly and other rants

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Tucson Citizen case should stop here

The judge in the Tucson Citizen case did exactly what I think he had to do when he rejected Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard’s request for a restraining order. AP Reporter Art Rotstein wrote: “Collins’ ruling denied the state a temporary restraining order, but the state is entitled to continue with its lawsuit alleging antitrust violations. The attorney general’s office hasn’t decided whether to file an appeal.” According to my friend and colleague, Steve Elliott, the judge basically said, “go away.” Steve’s blog will lead you to all the documents in the case. They make great reading.

I hope Goddard drops the case now. It is a non-starter in today’s multi-media world. I have been saying for months that the elements for anti-trust no longer exist in the newspaper business, and I still think I am correct.  I realize that last month the Obama Administration rejected this contention with this language: “Newspapers, however rare and financially weak, can adapt and ultimately conquer the threat posed by the Internet,” the Justice Department’s Carl Shapiro told a House panel.  I think the Department of Justice was wrong. Any adaptation will merely allow newspapers to survive, it will not not allow them to “conquer the threat.”

Phil Meyer in his book The Vanishing Newspaper wrote about newspapers controlling the “advertising tollgate.” In 1995 Meyer wrote this in American Journalism Review : “U.S. newspaper publishers are like the Savoy family because a monopoly paper is a tollgate through which information passes between the local retailers and their customers. For most of this century that bottleneck has been virtually absolute. Owning the newspaper was like having the power to levy a sales tax. ”

That’s why there were times in my career when certain rate categories at my newspaper went up at double digit rates. That’s why one newspaper publisher in my memory threatened the customers of an upstart shopper that if they didn’t stop advertising in that shopper they wouldn’t be allowed to advertise in his newspaper.  Now that was anti-trust behavior, and that publisher got hammered by the courts for his efforts. That could not happen in most newspaper markets today because advertisers, brimming with options, would laugh at such threats.  The local newspaper simply does not control the tollgate anymore.  Witness the Amish Furniture ads and the full-page ads for coin dealers. That immediately tells you all you need to know about eroding rates.

A friend of mine this morning was trying to play devil’s advocate on the part of the Citizen and Goddard.  He said “let’s imagine there are two coffee shops in town and you and I own them. I come to you and offer to buy you out and give you 50 percent of the future profits (that is allegedly similar to the Lee Newspaper/ Gannett deal in Tucson.) Are you trying to tell me,” my friend asked, ” that isn’t anti-trust behavior.”

I said, “it certainly is not anti-trust behavior if there are 50 other shops in town who are selling a magical new beverage that is more refreshing, and far tastier than coffee—a beverage that makes our coffee look like mud. In that case the new beverage shop owners and customers could care less about what we do with our silly, antiquated coffee business.” And that is exactly the situation newspapers are in right now.

There are simply too many alternatives for advertisers and information consumers for newspaper actions in the marketplace to matter much. When every newspaper action affected the commercial marketplace regulation was important and necessary. Until and unless newspaper reinvention can put newspapers back in some position similar to the troll commanding the tollgate, anti trust for newspapers should be considered dead. I am not holding my breath that newspapers will ever again play the role of a tollgate troll.

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Civil conversation and media criticism should co-exist

The tools of production have been democratized and the power to create news has clearly shifted to the masses. All the hip authors tell us amateurs are on the brink of overpowering professionals. Legacy media is under siege because the mass advertising model does not work anymore. Despite all the dire predictions mainstream media seems to continue to set the agenda and media criticism is increasing rather than decreasing.

There’s a new entry into this field from some folks at the Cronkite School’s entrepreneurial lab. They asked me to write an entry about the need for media criticism. As is often the case, the request ran smack dab into a recent pet peeve of mine causing me me go in a very different direction.

I have found it mighty maddening lately that everybody who talks about newspapers, media and the future of said media is so damned certain about just about everything. I have certainly made as many flat-out declarations as the next guy in my life, but it strikes me that in this intriguing liminal moment we live in there is a demand for more humility, more sense of journey and more open inquiry. Thursday I listened to Merrill Brown here at a Cronkite School lunch. Brown is a media veteran of many platforms who is helping Steven Brill with his new Journalism Online venture.  Brown was delightfully open and questioning.  He does not pretend he knows all the answers and is engaged by the mystery that lies ahead. 

If media criticism is going to be taken seriously I think the vitriol needs to be toned down and humility introduced.  I think these five rules would make media criticism more civil, smarter and more effective. They would probably make life go a little easier too!

  1. Understand that your views are not Divine Truth. ESPN radio show host Colin Cowherd doesn’t always ring my chimes, but he did a great riff Thursday about what is obvious to him may not be at all obvious to you. I advise my students to try to reword an opinion this way to see if it still flies.  “With all of my prejudices and baggage accumulated over 60 years I believe….” For most people that will inject a little humility into the observation.
  2. Keep the focus of your criticism narrow and manageable. Words like “always” and “never” cheapen most arguments. Those words tend to make you seem silly and painfully uninformed.  Allow wiggle room.
  3. There needs to be common starting point. A good one for journalism is the four pillars of truth-telling, minimizing harm, independence and accountability. Those four elements are essential for discourse to be considered journalism.  Good criticism should challenge journalists on the exercise of one or more of those elements.
  4. Much criticism contends bias. Bias is a legitimate area of inquiry, but too often critics, offended by what they perceive as bias, simply attempt to impose their own bias.  Independence of faction as proposed by Kovach and Rosenstiel requires that we have an independence of mind and spirit and that should be reflected in our language.
  5. Finally, I bristle when attacks are not followed by wise advice.  I advise my ethics students to ask “what would I have them do.”  If I believe a media practitioner made an error, showed bias or had an ethical lapse I need “to walk in their shoes.” Your criticism will be more insightful if you attempt to understand how the scene may look from the ground and consider what better options the practitioner should have pursued. That process often introduces gray areas which should be appreciated.

These suggestions are hard to follow when a piece of reporting or opinion make you mad as hell. I am well aware they are easier to suggest than to act upon.  I simply offer the possibility that civil criticism and constructive ideas will make improving the media a more pleasant and a more satisfying intellectual undertaking.

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Newspaper critics need to count to 100 and take a sedative

It has been major sport for some time to mock the newspaper business and its executives for failure to act. Now words like “collusion’ and “bullies” and “too late” are pock-marking what should be an intelligent debate.

Jeff Jarvis, a guru way out of my league, is the hero of the critical set whose main message to publisher  is “You blew it.” He hammers that message home and accuses newspapers publishers of a “hissy fit” because they raised the issue of AP and other papers charging aggregators for content links.

It is late in the game for newspapers to try to gain control of their content. Is it too late, is the more important question. When your industry is teetering on the brink of extinction even though you still have millions of readers I’d say it is not too late.  I think critics need to breathe in slowly and consider these crucial points.

While the stock market, media visionaries and critics see the handwriting on the wall there are still a phenomenal number of newspaper readers and content consumers. In some ways that’s a problem, but simply dumping those readers without viable alternatives seems like folly to me.

Forget the monopoly thinking. Newspapers are no more monopolies these days than ice cream parlors. If information is the business, they are not monopolies. If advertising messages are the business, then newspapers certainly are not monopolies.  If Phil Meyer’s term from The Vanishing Newspaper, the advertising “tollgate” is the test, newspapers certainly don’t control that tollgate anymore.

I have heard noises about potential anti-trust actions surrounding some of the newspaper closings and potential closings. I have laughed out loud. I think it will require phenomenal department of justice creativity to find a dying industry guilty of anti-trust behavior. 

In the same way I simply do not see collusion in the meeting Alan Mutter describes in his fantastic Sunday post.  If an industry whose business model has imploded searches for a new business model I don’t see collusion. I see recognition that the light at the end of the tunnel is actually a train.

Dean Singleton said in an interview April 6 that newspapers “have been very timid about protecting our content.” Yes, and it gets hot in the desert too. It has been a while since a more obvious statement has been uttered. Even at the expense of explaining the obvious it is important to understand the reason for that failure to protect content.  Newspapers, unlike any other business in America, have two products.  Newspapers produced content that was consumed by readers for a relatively low price. Newspapers then turned around and sold those eyeballs to our advertisers at a very high price, arguably too high.  And it is that business of selling eyeballs to advertisers that has imploded. We are learning with each passing day that click throughs from aggregators are not being monetized enough to support once-healthy newspaper businesses 

For some time it has struck critics as common sense that newspapers should redo their business model.  Apparently there were parameters around that demand. I am convinced that newspapers’ relationship with people who want to distribute business messages does need to change. However, that does not have to mean only  the advertiser part of that model gets tweaked. Newspapers must look for revenue everywhere, and that content product has value which needs to be captured. When we talk business model we need to talk content and a new form of business messaging.

Jeff Jarvis is ardent and eloquent in his belief that it is too late and the newspaper business blew it. I can agree with him and still ask what would he have the industry do?  Throw in the towel? I have made a lot of mistakes in my life. I have always found that simply leaving them in the past and giving up is a distasteful option. I try to circle back and improve the outcome.

We can be critical of newspapers’ timing in their effort to own their content, but the effort is an important one not only in the interest of protecting the business of newspapers, but in protecting the quality of journalism that lubricates democracy. 

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Associated Press is right to take on Google and other aggregators. Newspapers need to follow quickly.

Holy Smokes! The Associated Press announcement that it will take on aggregators like Google with legal action is as big a news as we’ve seen in a while. AP found its heart, its soul and it’s courage.

This is the battle that has to take place, and now the question will be who will join in.  I think newspapers have to play in this sandbox.  They need to show the same courage as AP has.

The belief that new organizations can’t afford to take on Google and other aggregators because they need the “eyeballs” delivered to their sites is a bankrupt concept. News sites are not successfully monetizing those eyeballs so they had better start getting revenue for the content before they go belly up.  I haven’t been as excited or pleased about a journalism news development in years. This is what I believed had to happen.

I have kicked Dean Singleton and AP around plenty, but today I doff my cap. 

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McGuire's complete Presstime interview on newspaper future

Presstime has published a pretty interesting analysis of the future by a bunch of folks with lots of theories about where newspapers are heading. The piece offers some good insights. Presstime was kind enough to include my comments, but they edited some of my wisdom just as they edited everybody else.  I think it it is notable that there is not a lot or agreement in that post

A blog allows me to print my comments as I submitted them.

1) What is the mission of the core newspaper print product these days?

The mission of all print products should be to make sense of the news to make citizens better. Some of that is an altruistic democratic notion, but print products can make readers better in a host of other ways too. . Print products cannot get caught up in “commodity” information. Everything a print source does must “add value.” Even weather and sports must be presented in ways that distinguish the information from commodity sources.

2) You’re starting the newspaper print product from scratch. What stays and what goes (e.g., sections of the paper, beats, days published, classified ads)? How do you rethink the parts you keep?

What important here is not the individual pieces, but how I think about it. I think about the value proposition of specific readers in specific demos and I contemplate the “value-add” my organization can bring. I concentrate on “stuff people don’t know.” In every news category I have to develop approaches and material that does not fall on the commodity side of the news line. A simple AP story on the bailout simply is not enough. I have to explain the bailout, I have to tell readers whether it makes sense and I must tell readers what it means for them to in the efforts to buy a car or a house a week from Thursday.

3) A number of newspapers are dropping sections or days of distribution. How does remaking the newspaper in these ways strengthen the core product in the long run?

In most cases it is short-term thinking to pare costs. I believe that printing some days may be a viable answer, but it’s happening for all the wrong reasons. I think more newspapers ought to be asking where are the holes in my media market and how can I fill them? And, they should be asking if we make certain moves in this market like publishing three times a week, what are the counter moves I can expect. I am going to be stunned if a competitor does not put a Sunday-Monday sports product into Detroit. The Detroit papers should do that before a competitor does.

4) Who is the audience the core product is aiming at now, in terms of readers and advertisers? Who should it be aiming at?

I believe too many core products are aiming at all people. Too much time money and energy has been wasted chasing young readers with the print product. We should get practical and realize the print product needs to be targeted 35-80. Ride that market down as you develop truly innovative web and electronic products for younger readers. We clearly have two audiences. It is time we treat both with equal respect rather than chase the other with the wrong vehicle. This approach would allow us to be nimble if a device appears that connects the two audiences again. That could happen.

5) In the past, reinventing the core product might have been seen as just redesigning the look of the paper. Is that still part of it? What else needs to be done?

Again, that would lead to only incremental change. Print publishers need to totally rethink what they are doing you are doing and adopt a process like this. There are many others, but you need a process.. A) Decide on a business model: Do I want to deliver eyeballs to customers or do I want to entice customers to pay for the product, or do I want a combination of the two. How do I support the news gathering I want to do? B) Determine my market. Is this a mass endeavor or it is targeted? What are the information opportunities for that market? C) What is my role in the democratic process? If you want one go for it. If you want to be all Britney, all the time, chuck the democracy façade. C) What are the market’s information needs and potentials? D) Develop a value proposition that adds value to commodity information. What is it that we can do for our market that nobody else can and how valuable will that be to the market? If it is a commodity product I can’t charge much. If it is truly special and distinguishable, the value of my product is greater. That will differentiate us from competitors and make us indispensable to readers E) Invent a new product that is not tied to yesterday but is tied to serving your market or community, create and add value that meets the market’s needs.

If you totally disconnect from yesterday a process like that should produce a new product that meets audience needs and business needs.

6) In a Web-first, print-second world, what role does the core product play? What is its relation to other products?

As I said before the web and print products must serve totally different audiences. Your web product is for younger readers and is the core of your long-term future. Your print product serves a still large audience that will die over the next 25 years. Do not chase one audience with the wrong product.

7) How can be the core product be reinvented or redesigned for greater synergy with online efforts?

Implicit in that question is a belief that the audiences are going to cross over. I don’t agree with that premise. Newspapers right now are trying desperately to hold on to the mass by forcing those two audiences together. I do not think it is going to work.
8) What’s the biggest obstacle in the way of reinventing the core product, and how do you remove (or at least lessen) it?

The biggest obstacle is this desire to create one product for all people. Those days are dead and too few publishers are willing to let go of that idea.

9) What will the core product look like in two, five and 10 years?

It depends on whether we make the right audience choice. If we design a value-added product for people who want to read a newspaper. It will focus on political news, sense-making, story-telling and “holy smokes Mabel stories” that high-end newspaper reader’s desire most.

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Michigan newspapers grapple with dramatic solutions

I was born in Michigan. I delivered and read the Saginaw News as a kid. I worked with the Grand Rapids Press when I was the student Sports Information Director at Aquinas College. Competing with Deborah Howell and Walker Lundy in the Twin Cities was a pistol in the 90’s, but I was prepared for those battles by my competition with the Ann Arbor News in the mid-70’s when I was the top editor of the Ypsilanti Press. I’ve always had good friends at the Michigan Newhouse papers so the bombshells there this week struck at all my nostalgic chords.  The “Boothies” as we used to call the newspapers owned by Booth newspapers before the group was sold to Advance Publications, dominated the Michigan newspaper scene in a way that have made them integral to the history and character of the state.

Within two days they became radically different operations, and the disease that has afflicted major metro newspapers has suddenly spread to much smaller papers.  It’s one thing for big-city two-market papers like the Seattle P-I and Denver’s Rocky Mountain news to fold their tents. Sad, but not surprising.  It isn’t shocking that papers like Philly and Minneapolis are in bankruptcy.  However, I was merrily wandering down the path believing smaller newspapers in tight communities were going to survive much longer.  The Michigan carnage may simply tell us that Michigan is an impossible place to operate a media business right now.  On the other hand, this debacle could tell us the breadth of the newspaper problem is wider and deeper than we thought.

Another fascinating element of this story is the way Advance Publications eschewed a one-size-fits-all solution.  They are addressing each area of the state with very different approaches.

The move to end the Ann Arbor News and start over with a new online operation is intriguing and well explained here. This is not a new debate.  Do I turn my newspaper into an online site or do I blow up management, staffs and systems and start a new corporate entity without any legacy obligations?  Ann Arbor chose the latter which I am sure some people see as heartless. Other people will see it as the only practical way to ensure genuine pioneering approaches to a community online operation. I’ll be wishy-washy and wish there was a middle ground. 

Over on the western side of the state The Muskegon Chronicle, Kalamazoo Gazette and Grand Rapids Press will consolidate their printing and production operations in Grand Rapids.  It appears they will continue to publish all three papers in each city. It is wild speculation, but one wonders if the papers farthest away from the auto manufacturing  area of Michigan are doing better than others. 

Three papers in that auto area, Flint, Saginaw and Bay City will go  to three day publication following a similar model in Detroit. They will be online all the time.

Numbness is starting to replace sadness with all these industry downsizing efforts , but the level of experimentation at the Michigan Newhouse papers is admirable. Everybody seems focused on finding the right business revenue models and that search is struggling. This search for the for the right cost model to responsibly serve readers is just as important a quest.

The events of the last several weeks make it obvious that all cost-saving possibilities are on the table. Nobody is feeling restricted in reaching for dramatic solutions.

I told my students two weeks ago they are watching a dramatic unraveling of the industry I have worked in since 1967. The sudden steepness of the hill in the last few months makes the snowball bigger and bigger. That snowball threatens everything we’ve ever known about craft, the business and interacting with readers and community. That dramatic threat means every sort of experimentation becomes legal.

A researcher has written me asking me if I think the Cedar Rapids Gazette people are a little bit weird for announcing a move “from being communications media to becoming social media.” I haven’t answered yet, but my answer is going to be something like “they’d be insane if they didn’t try a fascinating idea like that.”

I am far more excited about positive, forward-thinking actions  than I am about cost-cutting which is inevitably going to damage communities, possibly irreparably.  

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APME and ASNE have danced around merger for a long, long time

There are lots of  musings out there about ASNE’s cancellation of this year’s annual convention, but the one that grabbed my attention came from my friend Steve Buttry. Steve opines that a merger between ASNE and APME makes the most sense. I think it is important that the record show that merger between the two organizations is not a recent discussion.

Steve Smith pronounced APME the feistier of the two organizations and in my ASNE-biased mind that has certainly been  true when it comes to merger. I don’t want to engage in any neiner-neiner” across backyards, but right at the turn of the millennium there was a great chance for a merger and it fell apart. 

A 2000 article in E & P says that there were no merger plans, but the two entities were ” emphasizing a commitment to work more closely with each other.” Yeah, right.  Those were was the really the words of a broken down negotiation that never flew. I was there.

Jerry Ceppos, who was president of APME in 1999-2000 acknowledged in a Poynter piece last year  there was “a process that led from my fairly private dream of a merger of ASNE and APME . . . to a simple last-ditch effort at cooperation between the two groups . . . . to the failure of both ideas because of organizational rivalries, among other reasons.”

That is a key quote. The talks fell apart because of rivalries that were in my mind always a bit mysterious. I still believe Rich Oppel and I, the top two officers in ASNE at the time, could have pulled it off politically, but we never got the chance. Jerry had been the instigator of the idea and he showed tremendous political courage by raising the issue. He got politically annihilated by APME board members who apparently thought ASNE was playing the role of the bully. That despite the fact Jerry carried the idea to us. I learned a long time ago that if somebody calls you arrogant, you have at least made somebody feel as if you have behaved arrogantly.  Perhaps ASNE did something that was arrogant, but I never got it at the time.

The reason this blog is important historically is because one of the key players over the years in making a merger difficult was the Associated Press.  Can I hand you a smoking gun that proves that?  No, I cannot. However, while I was born at night, it wasn’t last night. I am convinced to my core the AP actively lobbied against such a merger repeatedly. At one point I was told AP offered new assistance to APME to keep it running. Perhaps that was the right thing to do, but I do think it is a tad misleading to say organizational rivalries stopped a merger.  Institutional rivalries were at play too–AP’s.

Ceppos said in his 2008 Poynter piece, “Maybe my ideas came too early. Maybe I was a bad politician. But everything has changed (except for my political skills), and it’s clear that now is the time to merge to produce one blockbuster group rather than two diluted ones–if it’s not already too late.”

I do not fault anybody’s political skills. I do acknowledge dramatic change.  I don’t know if it was too late in 2008 and I don’t know if it is too late now. But with the profoundly changed role AP is playing in today’s newspaper world, perhaps it is time to have the discussion about one merged organization with AP sitting on the sideline without exerting influence.

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Can the book Outliers help us understand journalism's cultural legacies?

Over the holidays a close friend of about 50 years insisted, no he demanded, I read Malcolm Gladwell’s book Outliers.  I remain baffled about the fact that it reads like two separate books, but both “books” are really fascinating. The second half of the book talks about cultural patterns and as I read it, I became engaged by its implications for journalists and journalism.

I trust most journalists will not challenge the contention that the profession is tribal and wedded to prescriptions and cultural legacies.

Gladwell argues that when one family fights with another one it is a feud, ala Hatfields and McCoys.  When lots of families fight with one another over a number of years it’s a PATTERN.

The source of the pattern, according to Gladwell  was believed to be a CULTURE OF HONOR. A man’s reputation is at the center of his livelihood and self-worth. The culture of honor argument says it matters where your family is from generations ago.

The magic word in one study to test combative reactions was “asshole.” Someone bumped them in a hallway and called them asshole. Gladwell, in what seems like an incredible generalization says the study found  people from the north were amused. The southerners were ready to fight.

Cultural legacies are powerful forces. You see where I am going with this.  I think there are a lot of cultural legacies that get in the way of innovation in journalism

Glaswell also focuses on plane crashes. It seems that Korean Air had a terrible fatal crash problem.  Some cultures are rules oriented and rigid. Others respond beautifully to ambiguity. One’s not necessarily better than the other, but you need to know which one you are dealing with at all times.

In the case of Korean Air, it was finally determined that the cause of the crashes was a communication problem. In the Korean language there were seven different ways of addressing a superior. So the co-pilot often “hinted” at a problem.  A subordinate does not see it as his job to solve the crisis. That’s the captain’s job. Meanwhile a “low power- distance American” see no gap between himself, the controller and the pilot.  If there is a problem he expects the pilot to tell him so! Instead the Korean co-pilot often felt concerned that he hurt the controller’s feelings despite the fact the plane was headed for a crash.

A new head of pilots entered that scenario. He didn’t fire everybody and start over. Rather, he respected the cultural legacies. He offered the pilots an opportunity to transform their relationship to their work by making English the language of the airline. That eliminated the subtleties and the cultural deferments.

All of this got me to thinking about what are the cultural legacies of the journalism business that might be blocking innovation, have historically blocked innovation or have hindered public acceptance? I came up with this list for you to argue with as you wish.

· We decide what you, the audience will read.

· We will gather the news, you (business side) sell it and I will not be tainted by business.

· Reporters view of the world vis a vis the editor view of the world.

· The public’s right to know dwarfs individual’s desires for privacy or secrecy or sometimes even discretion.

· Comfort the afflicted, afflict the comfortable.

· Collateral damage on the way to truth can be tolerated.

All of this became relevant for me the other day. My friend Steve Buttry, who until this week was the new editor at the Cedar Rapids Gazette, changed titles. He is now the Information Content Conductor.  As a guy who took an inordinate amount of crap in the mid-90s for having the audacity to jigger with titles at The Star Tribune in Minneapolis I was actually surprised at the negative reaction.  I saw a friend of mine roll his eyes in frustration at Steve’s move and Steve twittered about  a “snarky” column from an editor about the new title.

When are we going to get so tired of the Rocky Mountain News closing its quality journalistic doors and newspaper after newspaper filing for bankruptcy that we say “screw our cultural legacies?” When are we going to let go and say “If you can think it, then by God, try it?”

For the record, I think Steve Buttry is to journalistic innovation what pre-steroid stars are to baseball —the real damn deal. If Buttry thinks an Information Content Conductor is worth a try then I am going to cheer like hell. I am at the point where if publishers and editors want to call themselves Fred and dress in clown suits it’s okay with me if they can figure out ways to reinvent the content models and the business models for newspapers.

Before we run into any more metaphorical mountains like Korean Air did or enkindle any more Southern feuds with our sense of pretentious honor, let’s let go of our goofy prescriptions and innovate before it is too late.

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